IG Core Portfolio – Income Series F

Q1 commentary 2026

Highlights

① The portfolio delivered a positive performance during the period, navigating persistent geopolitical friction.  

② Exposure to short-term bonds contributed to portfolio performance.

③ Exposure to real property contributed during the period.  

Portfolio returns: Q1 2026

Total Return1M3MYTD1YR3YR5YR10YRSince Inc.
July 12, 2013

IG Core Portfolio – Income F

-0.44

0.49

0.49

2.78

4.30

2.51

2.67

2.76

Quartile rankings

2

1

1

2

3

2

1

 

Portfolio Overview

The first quarter of 2026 was defined by a volatile mix of persistent geopolitical friction in the Middle East and a robust, technology-driven growth narrative in the United States. While the period began with optimism following the resolution of the U.S. federal shutdown, market sentiment was quickly recalibrated as tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated. This introduction of headline risk required a nimbler approach to duration and credit, as investors weighed the inflationary pressures of energy price volatility against the deflationary potential of a global growth shock.

In the United States, the Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at the 3.5%-3.75% target range. While the decision was widely anticipated, the narrative around projections revealed a central bank grappling with conflicting signals. On one hand, the "AI capital expenditure" theme has become a structural pillar of the domestic economy as the four largest tech titans are forecasted to spend more than $600 billion on capex this year.  

On the other hand, the implications of the conflict in the Middle East remain a significant blind spot. Despite a brief suspension of hostilities in February, markets remained skeptical of a long-term diplomatic resolution. Consequently, inflation expectations were adjusted higher, with both personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and Core PCE now projected at 2.7% for the year. The Treasury yield curve experienced volatility during the quarter, as yields declined before rising later in the quarter.

The Canadian narrative diverged from that of the U.S., as domestic economic fragilities became more pronounced. The Bank of Canada (BoC) held its overnight rate steady at 2.25% in March, but the tone of policymakers shifted toward caution. Recent data confirmed that the Canadian economy contracted by 0.6% in the final quarter of 2025, and the labour market showed signs of cooling as the unemployment rate ticked up to 6.7% in February.

The IG Mackenzie Mortgage and Short Term Income Fund was the largest weighted allocation in the portfolio and largest contributor to performance. The IG Mackenzie Canadian Money Market Fund was the second largest weighted allocation in the portfolio and second largest contributor to performance.

During the period, the fund’s exposure to the Mackenzie - IG Canadian Corporate Bond Pool remained consistent at 15.3%. The fund’s allocation to the IG Mackenzie Canadian Money Market Fund ended the period at 18.4%. The fund ended the period with a 3.1% allocation to the Mackenzie High Quality Floating Rate Fund.

Market overview: oil shock drove turbulence, commodities dominated inflation fears

The first quarter of 2026 began with supportive economic momentum; improving manufacturing, a stabilizing U.S. housing backdrop and contained inflation. However, this quickly pivoted as the conflict in the Middle-East involving Iran — along with trade disruption around the Strait of Hormuz — pushed energy commodities higher. The energy shock drove volatility across global equities, yet the underlying backdrop proved more resilient than headlines implied, reinforcing the value of diversification.

Canadian equities were resilient, as higher crude oil prices supported the energy sector and helped offset weaknesses in rate-sensitive areas. Defensive sectors, dividends and real-asset exposure provided additional insulation versus many global peers. U.S. fundamentals remained solid, but sentiment weakened as oil lifted inflation expectations. Investors rotated away from expensive, rate-sensitive growth stocks, making performance more about a valuation reset than deteriorating earnings.

Market overview: oil shock drove turbulence, commodities dominated inflation fears

Market outlook: a volatile mix of persistent geopolitical friction

Looking ahead, we are maintaining a long front-end bias in Canada. Our thesis remains that Canada is entering a housing-led downturn, where a combination of falling rents and tighter financing will prompt the Bank of Canada to initiate rate cuts of 0.25-0.5 of a percentage point toward mid-year. In the U.S., our positioning was more tactical. We began the year underweight duration but moved to neutral as the Middle East conflict escalated. Within credit, we are maintaining an overweight stance in investment grade. In high yield, we continue to express a high-conviction in the aerospace and defence sectors. In an environment of remilitarization and increased fiscal defence outlays, companies in these sectors offer attractive risk-adjusted profiles. As we move into the second quarter, we remain disciplined, prioritizing quality as the market continues to navigate this period of heightened geopolitical and fiscal uncertainty.

To discuss your investment strategy, speak to your IG Advisor.