IG Growth Portfolio – Global Equity Balanced Series F

Q4 commentary 2025

Highlights

① The portfolio appreciated during the quarter, led by equities, followed by fixed income.

② Canadian and developed market (EAFE) equities were the top contributors to returns.

③ Canadian bonds detracted from returns.

Portfolio returns: Q4 2025

Total Return1M3MYTD1YR3YR5YR10YRSince Inc. (Jul 12, 2013)

IG Growth Portfolio – Global Equity Balanced F

-0.36

2.28

17.10

17.10

17.71

9.57

8.19

8.43

Quartile rankings

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

 

Portfolio Overview

Global markets delivered positive returns in Q4 2025, as easing inflation and stable financial conditions, coupled with broadly supportive corporate results, helped maintain investors’ risk-on sentiment. Equity performance was positive across most regions, with a few exceptions, such as China, which lagged amid ongoing economic and policy challenges. Canadian equities outperformed U.S. markets, supported by a strong performance in cyclical sectors, including materials, financials and consumer discretionary, reflecting continued global risk appetite. The Canadian dollar strengthened against major currencies, resulting in lower unhedged returns for Canadian investors. Lower-priced, value-oriented companies outperformed high-growth companies across global and North American markets. In commodities, gold and silver performed exceptionally well amid lingering macroeconomic and geopolitical risks and strong investor demand, while oil prices declined on concerns over excess supply. In fixed income, U.S. bond markets delivered modest gains supported by income and stable credit conditions, while Canadian bond returns faced modest price pressure, as yields rose earlier in the period.

The IG Growth Portfolio – Global Equity Balanced generated a positive return this quarter, led by equities, followed by fixed income.

The Mackenzie Canadian Equity Pool, the Mackenzie EAFE Equity Pool and the Mackenzie IG U.S. Equity Pool were the largest contributors. The Mackenzie Canadian Equity Pool delivered a positive return, supported by a strong performance in financials and materials. It outperformed its benchmark, aided by security selection in materials and energy, while consumer discretionary detracted slightly. The Mackenzie EAFE Equity Pool was a strong performer, benefiting from gains in the United Kingdom and Switzerland. On a relative basis, security selection and an underweight position in Japan detracted, while German stock selection and overweight allocations to Korea and Austria contributed. The Mackenzie IG U.S. Equity Pool delivered strong absolute returns, driven by health care. On a relative basis, it slightly underperformed its benchmark, with security selection in information technology detracting, while an overweight allocation to and security selection in health care contributed most.

The Mackenzie – IG Canadian Bond Pool and the Putnam – IG U.S. Growth Pool were slight detractors. The Mackenzie – IG Canadian Bond Pool posted a negative return but outperformed its benchmark, led by duration management and security selection in government bonds. Corporate bond selection detracted. The Putnam – IG U.S. Growth Pool generated slightly negative returns, weighed down by information technology stocks but partially offset by health care strength. On a relative basis, it outperformed its benchmark, supported by security selection in health care, industrials and financials, while communication services detracted.

Market overview: global growth strengthened, inflation eased, policy supportive

Markets ended the fourth quarter of 2025 on a strong note, capping a year defined by resilience and broad-based gains. Equities led performance, as investors looked beyond policy noise and focused on improving fundamentals. Global markets advanced, supported by steady corporate earnings, easing inflation pressures and a clear shift toward lower interest rates. Canada outperformed most developed peers, driven by strength in materials and financials, while European and Asian markets rebounded on firmer trade activity and renewed investor confidence. In the U.S., equity performance remained positive, led by technology and communication services, with improving breadth across sectors signalling a healthier market foundation.

Fixed income delivered modest but positive returns, as central banks continued to ease policy. Government yields declined on the short end while longer maturities remained stable, allowing coupon income to drive returns. Credit conditions stayed firm, underscoring the strength of corporate balance sheets entering 2026.

Compared to 12 months ago, the S&P/TSX Composite has now gained 28.2%; the S&P 500 16.4%; and the MSCI EAFE 27.9%.

Market outlook: positive on equities, diversified globally, selective in bonds

Our outlook for equities in 2026 remains positive, supported by strong corporate earnings and a resilient U.S. economy. However, we expect higher volatility than in 2025, as the second year of a U.S. presidential term has historically been more volatile. Within equities, we have increased our allocation to Canadian stocks, supported by resilient economic data and upward earnings revisions. We continue to find attractive valuations in Japan and EAFE and maintain a neutral view for the U.S.

In fixed income, we remain neutral on duration, as markets are already pricing in roughly two rate cuts for 2026, which we view as fair. We are also monitoring market reactions ahead of the announcement of the next U.S. Federal Reserve Chair. 

In currencies, our long-term view is for the U.S. dollar to depreciate against major currencies, including the euro and Japanese yen.

To discuss your investment strategy, speak to your IG Advisor.