IG Managed Growth Portfolio – Canadian Focused Equity Series F

Portfolio Commentary<br> Q4 2023

Highlights

① The portfolio’s equity allocations contributed to returns this period as bond yields fell and investor sentiment improved.

② The fourth quarter sent stocks and bonds prices higher.

③ The earnings outlook is improving, as forward-looking indicators turn positive.

Portfolio Overview

Allocations to the Mackenzie – IG Canadian Equity Pool, Mackenzie – IG U.S. Equity Pool and Mackenzie Enhanced Equity Risk Premia Fund were the top contributors to performance. There were no equity detractors over the period. Within fixed income, the sole allocation to the Mackenzie Enhanced Fixed Income Risk Premia Fund also contributed to returns. 

Canadian equity (51%), foreign equity (36%) and alternatives (10%) make up the bulk of this fund.

Portfolio: U.S. and Canadian equities led portfolio returns while emerging markets lagged.

Performance contributors

Mackenzie – IG Canadian Equity Pool 
+ The pool was the largest weighted allocation in the portfolio and the top contributor to portfolio returns. The pool outperformed its benchmark, with security selection in the materials, industrials and information technology as the top contributors. Conversely, an overweight allocation to the energy sector and an underweight exposure to the financials sector were the top detractors.

Mackenzie – IG U.S. Equity Pool
+ The pool was the second-largest weighted allocation in the portfolio and the second-largest contributor to portfolio returns. The pool outperformed its benchmark, with security selection in the health care, financials and consumer discretionary sectors as the top contributors. Conversely, an underweight allocation and security selection in the information technology sector were the top detractors.

Mackenzie Enhanced Fixed Income Risk Premia Fund
+ The fund was among the largest weighted allocations in the portfolio and was the third-largest contributor to portfolio returns. The fund is a levered equity fund. The investment team uses leverage to manage total portfolio equity exposure in a capital efficient way.

Performance detractors

Mackenzie Emerging Markets Large Cap Fund
- The fund was among the smallest weighted allocations in the portfolio and while not a detractor, it was one of the smallest contributors to portfolio returns. The fund slightly underperformed its benchmark, with security selection in the industrials and information technology sectors as the top detractors. Conversely, security selection in the financials and energy sectors were the top contributors.

Mackenzie Enhanced Equity Risk Premia Fund
- The fund was among the smallest weighted allocations in the portfolio and while not a detractor, it was one of the smallest contributors to portfolio returns. The fund is a levered fixed income fund. The investment team uses leverage to manage total portfolio fixed income exposure in a capital efficient way.

Portfolio Returns: Q4 2023

Total Return 1M 3M YTD 1YR 3YR 5YR 10YR Since Inc. (July 12, 2013)

IG Managed Growth Portfolio – Canadian Focused Equity F

3.93

8.96

14.16

14.16

8.27

10.27

7.19

7.98

<strong>Market Overview</strong>: The last quarter of 2023 set a positive tone for the new year.

The fourth quarter saw a rally in most asset classes and sectors. Yields went down, sending both stocks and bonds higher. The markets aggressively priced in an economic “soft-landing”, which impacted valuations across the board. U.S. stocks began the quarter with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in the mid-17s, but ended close to 20, a significant increase.

Bond yields went up a lot during the year, yet the fourth quarter's rally sent the US 10-year Treasury yield down to 3.87% (the exact same level at which it ended in 2022).

Canadian equities finished the year strongly, with the  S&P/TSX Composite Index increasing by 7.25% (and ending the year up 8.12%). Information technology led the rally, with returns of 23.9% for the quarter, while energy was the only sector to decline.  

<strong>Market Outlook</strong>: Economic indicators point towards U.S. recovery.

Central banks in Canada, Europe and the U.S. are expected to lower interest rates at some point in 2024. Signs show the manufacturing and earnings slump is fading, and the era of high inflation and interest rates is coming to an end. There are more indicators pointing to a U.S. recovery rather than a recession.

The earnings outlook is now brighter, as previous economic soft spots recede, and forward-looking indicators turn positive. Valuations shifted in the fourth quarter of 2023 to reflect this improved outlook. This means that some early-year volatility is possible, as the markets digest the latest macro-economic data and determine if their optimism was warranted or exaggerated.  

To discuss your investment strategy, speak to your IG Consultant.